Friday, January 14, 2011

MEGB fell 19 cents to its closing price of RM2.15 on 13 January 2010

Today, MEGB fell 19 cents to RM2.15, which is 1 sen different with my cost price of RM2.14. Will it decline to further its lowest RM2.03? If that is likely to happen, it will be worth to buy. anyway, it is already quite attractive for me at current price level.






















It seems like Fidelity equity fund, significant shareholder of MEGB is being selling its stake in MEGB, according to my research from bursa website, they has been selling since 24 Sept 2010. On 11 & 12 Jan 2011, they continued selling its stake in MEGB as there are annoucement of change in shareholding of significant shareholders on Bursa website on 11 & 12 January 2011 as follows:

The initail shareholding of Fidelity was 5.34% (or approx. 21.9 million shares) on 18 May 2010 While SMALLCAP World fund (or approx 24.3 million shares) was 5.93. The price at mid-may is at around RM 3.70.

Thereafter, Fidelity's shareholding was increased to 9.5% or approx 39.0 million shares at 6 Sept 2010.
From 24 Sept 2010 onwards till now, Fidelity has been disposing MEGB and as refering to Bursa website, they are still holding 7.26% or 29.7 million shares as of 7 jan 2010.  A net disposal of Approx. 9.3 million share was done during 24 Sept 2010 to 7 jan 2010, about 3 moths time. Within this period, the disposal price is believed to be low than its cost price.
the disposal price is believed to be low than its cost price. What are they doing? i really need to learn and understand it. Meanwhile, the shareholding of SMALLCAP does not change during the these period.
On 12 & 13 jan 2011, the high volume was likely to be Filidety's disposal transaction. According to bursa list requirements, any changes in shareholding of signficant shareholder is required to made an announcement within 3-4days if i am not wrong. i will expect such annoucement on 18 and 19 jan 2011.
In view of Fidelity's activity, the share price is hardly go up. Probably, it could only go up after Fidelity ceases to become significant shareholder of MEGB that is shareholding less than 5%.
But i am still optimistic on MEGB's fundamental and business prospect, it is a long term investment. That may be an opportunity to grasp a lower price when this unwelcome foreign equity fund is selling Let look for long term, my target is EPS to be at 25 sen per share and PE at 12.

Sunday, January 9, 2011

Portfolio Performance @ 7 Jan 2011

Portfolio Performance @ 7 Jan 2011

Review of MEGB stock price for this week
As refer to the Chart below, it shows that MEGB's share price increased tremendously from its opening price of RM2.16 on 5 Jan (Wed) to RM2.50 closed on 6 Jan 2010 (Thu) and intra-day high of RM2.59 on 6 Jan 2010 (Thu). During these two days, its trade volume was also increased tremendously as it had been circled in red colour in the chart below.

Why is this counter attracted so many buyers during these two days? Who were those buyers? The answers can be that buyers are:
1) those who believe MEGB's good business prospect and its strong fundamentals.
2) those who has obtained some inside positve news, which will be annouced soon.
3) those who just follow and chasing along the price on its way up, they are chaser.
However, I tend to believe that the buyers are most likely those who admire MEGB's good business prospect and its strong fundamental and those chasers.

After rising in a row of 4 days, MEGB fell to RM2.39 closed on 7 Jan 2010 last friday, trade volume was relative thin as compared to 5-6 Jan 2010. Hence, i believe that this should be the sign of profit taking by those chasers. Those who bought MEGB according to its good business prospect and strong fundamentals during 5-6 Jan 2010 are mostly remained holding it. If profit taking will continue next monday, that may be an opportunity to grasp at low. Unfortunately, i will have a full day meeting next monday, I shall not have time to look at it.

Review of MFCB stock price for this week
MFCB is really disappointed me this week, mainly due to rising in coal price. However, share buyback activity which its management is doing that will help to maintain the share price. Anyway, i shall look for other alternative.

==============================================================================================
The articles below published in http://www.btimes.com.my/

Title : Masterskill's rebound has legs

SHARE prices on Bursa Malaysia staged a follow-through rally on the fourth trading day of 2011 yesterday. Advancing counters outpaced declining counters by 570 to 295.

The FTSE Bursa Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (FBM KLCI) rebounded from its intra-day low of 1,562.75 to its intra-day high of 1,576.95 yesterday. It closed at 1,568.37 points, giving a day-on-day gain of 2.20 points, or 0.14 per cent.

Masterskill Education Group Bhd rebounded yesterday. Its daily price trend rallied to close at RM2.50, posting a day-on-day gain of 22 sen, or 9.65 per cent.

Chartwise, Masterskill's daily price trend rebounded from its low of RM2.03 on December 20, 2010 all the way up to its intra-day high of RM2.59 yesterday, posting a gain of 56 sen, or 27.58 per cent.




Its 60-minute price trend staged a technical breakout of its intermediate-term overhead resistance (B1:B2) yesterday and continued to close above it.

Its daily fast MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator) continued to stay above its daily slow MACD yesterday. Both of its daily fast and slow MACDs continued to stay above their respective neutral reference lines.

Masterskill's 60-minute price trend is likely to stage a follow-through technical rebound with intermittent profit-taking liquidations.

The subject expressed above is based purely on technical analysis and opinions of the writer. It is not a solicitation to buy or sell.
====================================================================================